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2008-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% -
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 22.7% 77.3% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.0% 87.0% -

Actual: Florida Gators +16 (72-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson 37 1-6 0-4 2-2 4 5 2 0 4 4 5 -
F. Tolbert 35 4-10 2-4 0-0 5 1 2 1 6 10 3 -
Q. Prowell 34 5-9 1-2 2-2 9 2 0 0 2 13 13 -
D. Reed 32 3-11 0-5 0-0 4 4 1 1 3 6 2 -
R. Barrett 23 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 7 2 -
L. Hargrove 22 5-10 1-3 0-0 6 1 2 1 1 11 10 -
L. Williams 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Heramb 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas 35 7-9 2-3 0-1 2 1 2 0 2 16 10 -
W. Hodge 33 3-8 1-5 0-0 4 4 3 0 2 7 8 -
N. Calathes 33 5-11 4-8 2-2 0 5 0 0 2 16 8 -
D. Werner 30 5-9 1-4 0-1 5 2 1 0 1 11 9 -
M. Speights 28 6-10 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 1 1 14 16 -
J. Mitchell 16 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 4 3 -
C. Parsons 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
A. Tyus 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
A. Allen 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter