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2008-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.9% 95.1% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (23.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +32 (70-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Monroe 0 2-7 0-0 0-3 6 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Ward 0 1-12 1-6 1-4 4 0 0 0 0 4 -4 -
A. Harvin 0 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
M. Freshour 0 1-8 0-2 2-3 10 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
S. Williams 0 1-11 0-1 2-6 3 0 0 0 0 4 -4 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cheek 0 1-3 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
J. Thomas 0 3-8 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
C. Black 0 9-11 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 0 19 17 -
A. Waner 0 2-12 0-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -4 -
W. Smith 0 0-9 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 -4 -

* = starter