Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Staudacher | 36 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 35 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Strait | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Martin | 31 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| C. Rundles | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Elgin-Taylor | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | - |
| K. Sharp | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Qvale | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Landry | 32 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 18 | - |
| J. Wilson | 31 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| N. Geiser | 29 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Johnson | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Bishop | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Larson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Jones | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Sharp | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter