Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✓ (34.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +35 (82-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Carter | 40 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| V. Oliver | 30 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Payne | 26 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Hanson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Clark | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Portz | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 18 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Boone | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Toth | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Townsend | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 28 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. Tresvant | 27 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Haynes | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Heard | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| P. Wayne | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Colston | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Miller | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Taylor | 9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| R. Mels | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter