Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -11 (63-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. White | 36 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Q. Williams | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| B. Bell | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Dennis | 28 | 7-17 | 4-6 | 12-15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 21 | - |
| H. Stewart | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Willingham | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Wooden | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Hogans | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Thompson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. McCoy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Wedel | 35 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| A. Banks | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Y. Chia-Kur | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Gant | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Koggu | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Morgan | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Lance | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Nutt | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Farmer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter