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2008-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +14 (69-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 35 7-14 0-0 2-4 8 2 1 0 2 16 11 -
T. Morris 26 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Q. Pondexter 25 3-10 1-3 3-4 0 1 2 0 1 10 2 -
V. Overton 22 0-6 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 1 -2 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
R. Appleby 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
J. Smith 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 5 9 -
A. Wallace 17 4-5 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
J. Dentmon 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
J. Holiday 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Wolfinger 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Mbah a Moute 36 6-11 0-2 5-5 3 0 1 0 1 17 9 -
R. Westbrook 35 6-7 0-0 6-8 3 4 2 0 5 18 15 -
K. Love 32 3-6 1-2 4-4 7 4 0 0 4 11 12 -
J. Shipp 30 4-9 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 9 4 -
L. Mata-Real 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 6 7 -
D. Collison 18 2-6 0-0 4-4 2 2 2 0 2 8 6 -
J. Keefe 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
A. Aboya 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Stanback 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Dragovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter