Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +24.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (93-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Garland | 38 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| B. Smithson | 37 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 16 | - |
| R. Augst | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. George | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Williams | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| V. James | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| S. Smith | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| G. Moles | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 32 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Lawson | 28 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| D. Thompson | 27 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 23 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Copeland | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Graves | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Little | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter