Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -22 (39-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 37 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Stewart | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| P. Turner | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 30 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Varnado | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 26 | - |
| R. Johnson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Benock | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Bailey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Augustus | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Bolen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Iupe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Temple | 37 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Thornton | 33 | 2-14 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Mason | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Randolph | 26 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Martin | 26 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| B. Spencer | 19 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Farrer | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Green | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter