Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Montgomery | 37 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Banks | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 35 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Mason | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 20 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| W. Figures | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | - |
| R. Palacios | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Anderson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Garrett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Amoroso | 30 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| K. Spain | 29 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Wade | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 28 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 27 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
| B. White | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter