Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +5 (51-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Josten | 37 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| A. Koch | 35 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Montgomery | 22 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Dunham | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 21 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Coleman | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Brown | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Viet | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Reed | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Haak | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 34 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Johnson | 30 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Richardson | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Sampay | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Slack | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Odzic | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Dyer | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Holloway | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
* = starter