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2008-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.7% 48.3% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.1% 35.9% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -7 (83-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lucas 36 5-10 3-5 6-6 2 3 1 0 3 19 12 -
N. Calathes 30 6-12 3-5 6-10 7 9 0 0 5 21 20 -
D. Werner 28 4-10 1-3 3-4 7 3 3 0 2 12 13 -
W. Hodge 26 6-7 3-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 17 15 -
M. Speights 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 4 6 4 -
A. Allen 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 5 1 -
J. Mitchell 16 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
A. Tyus 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
C. Parsons 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 4 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Pickett 36 3-10 1-4 0-0 1 9 2 0 6 7 3 -
A. Gee 36 14-25 4-9 0-0 8 0 2 0 0 32 17 -
R. Hendrix 32 6-10 0-0 12-21 16 4 2 3 1 24 38 -
M. Riley 31 3-11 3-9 3-4 2 2 1 0 0 12 6 -
B. Hollinger 26 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Jemison 14 1-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
S. Hillman 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
Y. Coleman 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Torrance 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Tubbs 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter