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2008-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 4.3% 95.7% -
Margin 0.8% 99.2% +26.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McAndrew 37 8-13 5-7 1-2 7 2 1 0 2 22 17 -
D. Huffman 37 3-11 1-7 3-4 2 3 0 0 5 10 -1 -
P. Sullivan 35 3-6 3-5 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 11 10 -
C. Skrelja 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 2 4 -
A. Williams 21 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Kelly 16 2-4 2-4 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 8 6 -
M. MacDonald 13 1-7 0-3 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 4 4 -
M. Mullery 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 2 3 -
S. Friske 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bruce 32 4-6 3-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 11 6 -
C. Jerrells 28 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 1 1 4 9 -
K. Rogers 26 5-10 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 3 1 14 13 -
L. Dunn 25 10-13 7-8 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 27 20 -
M. Diene 24 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 1 0 2 6 -
H. Dugat 24 3-6 1-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 9 3 -
T. Carter 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 0 3 -
D. Simpson 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
J. Lomers 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Shepherd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter