Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore | 37 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Kramer | 34 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Grant | 33 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| N. Calasan | 29 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| S. Martin | 26 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Green | 15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Crump | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 34 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| K. Lucas | 30 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 8 | - |
| G. Suton | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Naymick | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Walton | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Summers | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Gray | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Herzog | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter