Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Stovall | 39 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Newell | 38 | 9-20 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| B. Lampley | 34 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Perry | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Goins | 28 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Frazier | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Hinkley | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Giles | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Twyman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| T. Kent | 35 | 3-14 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -4 | - |
| R. Johnson | 35 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Byrd | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Bingham | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Amos | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Lo | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter