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2008-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 โœ“ (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Socoby 37 8-12 7-10 4-5 5 4 1 1 5 27 21 -
J. Bernal 35 4-10 0-0 1-6 6 1 0 0 5 9 1 -
P. Tchekane Bofia 29 2-8 0-1 0-0 10 4 0 1 1 4 10 -
S. McNally 21 3-3 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
J. Cook 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
J. Hight 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 0 -2 -
R. Hanzlik 13 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -7 -
K. Owes 12 1-3 0-2 4-7 1 1 1 0 3 6 3 -
S. Costigan 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Barnies 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Andre 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Peay 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Beauford 36 8-13 1-3 4-5 1 3 3 0 0 21 15 -
R. Lucas 36 6-13 2-6 4-4 1 1 3 0 2 18 8 -
D. Young 31 3-6 0-0 2-2 10 0 1 1 0 8 14 -
E. Castellanos 25 1-6 0-0 2-4 5 6 1 0 1 4 9 -
E. Neto 23 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 2 2 5 3 -
R. Pitt 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
M. Tyree 14 1-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
J. Paul 13 3-4 1-1 5-6 2 0 0 0 2 12 8 -
N. Carter 7 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 3 1 -

* = starter