Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Clemson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Clemson Tigers -2 (88-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 42 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| W. Ellington | 36 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 9-9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 18 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| T. Lawson | 36 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Thompson | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| W. Graves | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Copeland | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Clemson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.C. Rivers | 38 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| C. Hammonds | 37 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Mays | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Stitt | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Booker | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Potter | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Oglesby | 18 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Sykes | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Grant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Perry | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter