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2008-01-06

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (16.4 off)
Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -13 (56-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 38 4-9 0-3 4-5 2 6 2 0 6 12 7 -
G. Carr 37 7-13 6-9 4-5 5 2 0 0 2 24 16 -
B. Simon 28 2-4 2-3 3-4 9 4 0 0 1 9 17 -
B. Gilmore 22 3-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
T. Lay 21 4-7 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
J. Nichols 19 0-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 2 6 -
C. Guibunda 16 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 1 2 3 1 -
F. Borden 11 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
S. Luptak 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
F. Markusovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Penny 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Hendra 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 33 5-13 1-4 0-0 10 1 1 0 4 11 6 -
B. Loscalzo 30 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 9 9 -
B. Nwachukwu 25 1-4 0-0 5-6 5 0 0 2 0 7 10 -
M. Montgomery 24 3-5 0-2 2-4 3 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
K.J. Matsui 24 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 3 -
J. Bova 21 0-7 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Bulger 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 5 -
P. Foley 13 2-6 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
N. Scott 10 0-3 0-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
K. Sweet 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ampim 1 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Trepanier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter