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2008-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Cornell Big Red Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 4.3% 95.7% -
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +25.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Log Adjusted 2.3% 97.7% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wittman 40 5-12 3-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 13 3 -
L. Dale 31 4-13 1-2 0-0 4 5 1 0 9 9 -3 -
C. Robinson 26 3-9 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 9 2 -
A. Gore 25 1-3 1-2 3-3 2 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
A. Tyler 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
J. Foote 21 4-5 0-0 2-5 7 1 0 0 2 10 11 -
J. Hartford 13 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 2 4 2 -
J. Battle 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
B. Kreefer 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 4 6 -
G. Reeves 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
C. Mullen 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wire 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Jaques 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wilkins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Reynolds 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nelson 31 8-13 2-5 5-8 8 2 2 0 4 23 18 -
G. Henderson 30 5-11 0-2 2-3 6 2 3 1 2 12 11 -
J. Scheyer 30 2-8 1-3 3-3 3 2 2 0 0 8 7 -
K. Singler 29 5-12 0-3 4-6 8 4 1 1 2 14 14 -
G. Paulus 23 3-7 2-6 3-4 3 4 0 0 2 11 9 -
N. Smith 18 4-6 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 5 -
D. McClure 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
B. Zoubek 10 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 2 1 4 4 -
L. Thomas 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. King 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Davidson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter