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2008-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 78.0% 22.0% -10.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% - โœ“
Margin 88.3% 11.7% -11.1 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 75.7% 24.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.8% 7.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.4% 26.6% - โœ“

Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -9 (58-67). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steffan Johnson * 37 5-13 4-8 3-4 5 5 2 0 0 17 16 -
Michael Nunnally * 30 5-7 0-0 1-3 1 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
Chad Troyer * 30 2-10 1-6 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
Anthony Brown * 28 4-8 0-0 4-7 4 0 1 2 2 12 9 -
Joe Ford * 17 2-2 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 3 1 4 12 -
Michael Kirby 19 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 3 4 1 -
Bryan LeDuc 16 3-6 1-2 2-2 3 0 2 1 1 9 8 -
Terrell Smith 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Casey Neimeyer 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C.J. Morgan 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zack Grasmick * 38 1-7 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 2 -1 -
Terrence Johns * 36 7-18 3-10 5-5 1 1 0 0 1 22 5 -
Cory Brown * 29 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 3 5 8 7 -
Donavan Bragg * 28 2-9 0-2 3-4 4 5 0 0 3 7 4 -
Trent Blakley * 27 4-7 3-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
Ryan Brown 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Demarcus Hall 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
Rick Robinson 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Robert Rose 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter