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2008-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs UT Martin Skyhawks Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% +8.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“

Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks +14 (63-49). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Bedwell 33 7-12 6-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 20 9 -
J. Merritt 30 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
Bryan Friday 29 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 8 10 -
Travis Peterson 28 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 5 7 -
Trey Montgomery 25 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
Gaby Bermudez 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 0 1 -
Andy King 13 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Savoy Fraine 12 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Josh Davis 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 2 1 2 -
Jim Griffin 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
Matt Robertson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lester Hudson 36 5-13 2-7 1-2 5 6 7 0 2 13 16 -
Marquis Weddle 33 6-11 3-8 2-2 0 3 1 1 3 17 8 -
Djero Riedewald 32 7-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 15 12 -
Gerald Robinson 26 1-5 0-2 0-1 6 0 1 0 3 2 1 -
Olajide Hay 24 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 7 7 -
Sam Pearson 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Andres Irarrazabal 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Joe Bailey 16 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
Carlos Wright 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter