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2008-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% -
Log Adjusted 1.3% 98.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +7 (65-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 36 7-16 1-6 10-11 5 3 1 1 4 25 15 -
R. Coleman 31 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 3 0 3 6 5 -
E. Udoh 28 1-7 1-1 0-0 9 0 1 2 0 3 8 -
D. Sims 26 6-13 2-3 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 15 6 -
K. Grady 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
C.J. Lee 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
D. Merritt 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wright 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Z. Gibson 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Shepherd 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Grant 33 5-7 5-6 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 17 16 -
E. Moore 31 3-9 0-3 3-4 4 6 2 0 3 9 9 -
R. Hummel 29 5-10 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 3 13 10 -
C. Kramer 27 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 3 1 1 4 8 7 -
S. Martin 26 1-7 0-0 5-6 7 3 2 1 2 7 11 -
J. Johnson 16 2-4 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 4 0 6 8 -
N. Calasan 16 0-4 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
M. Green 14 1-4 1-2 2-3 1 0 1 1 0 5 4 -
T. Crump 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter