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2008-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% -
Log Adjusted 42.9% 57.1% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +9 (56-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 36 1-6 0-1 0-0 5 4 2 0 5 2 2 -
J. Bone 31 0-8 0-6 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 2 -3 -
R. Falker 31 3-11 0-0 7-10 8 0 3 1 3 13 11 -
W. Clemmons 30 2-7 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
M. Shaw 29 5-10 2-6 3-4 18 0 0 1 5 15 19 -
T. Green 21 0-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Fay 12 2-4 1-3 1-1 4 0 0 0 3 6 3 -
T. Boyle 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson 34 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 9 8 -
B. Richardson 29 0-4 0-3 1-2 1 4 1 0 3 1 0 -
O. Eldridge 28 3-11 3-5 4-7 4 3 1 2 1 13 11 -
L. Dyer 28 5-9 4-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 14 11 -
D. Odiakosa 24 3-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 1 2 6 5 -
A. Slack 17 3-7 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
E. Holloway 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
S. Odzic 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 5 -
B. Sampay 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter