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2008-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (12.5 off)

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Akins 29 1-10 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -8 -
L. Malone 28 6-14 1-3 4-6 9 0 1 0 1 17 12 -
B. Patterson 28 3-7 1-2 4-4 2 0 4 0 1 11 9 -
D. Eggins 27 4-6 0-2 4-5 6 1 1 0 4 12 10 -
M. Smith 26 3-8 0-0 2-3 11 2 0 1 3 8 11 -
J. Fowler 14 1-2 0-1 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
S. Moore 14 1-5 1-2 0-2 1 0 2 0 1 3 0 -
S. Edwards 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
D. Bails 9 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
R. Moss 5 1-1 0-0 0-3 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
M. Mouzy 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Stewart 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Jackson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Morgan 34 4-5 0-0 1-3 8 6 4 0 1 9 21 -
R. Wedel 33 6-10 4-7 4-4 2 2 1 1 1 20 15 -
Y. Chia-Kur 33 5-11 1-4 1-5 5 2 1 0 3 12 6 -
A. Banks 26 3-7 0-1 10-11 3 1 4 0 6 16 11 -
K. Gant 25 7-9 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 3 1 16 14 -
I. Koggu 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Thomas 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Lance 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Nutt 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -3 -
P.J. Keaton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Farmer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Handy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter