Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Army Black Knights +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ito | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Stohl | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| N. Raivio | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Carter | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Sikma | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Watson | 16 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| K. Knutson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| J. Brown | 31 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| M. Nelson | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - |
| C. Walker | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Williams | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Bates | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Moonshower | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Brewer | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Thompson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Richard | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Carter | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter