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2008-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% -
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.8 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -7 (78-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley 32 4-10 4-8 1-2 8 2 0 2 3 13 12 -
S. Welsh 30 2-3 2-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
G. Ervin 30 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 6 5 -
D. Townes 29 2-5 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 1 2 8 9 -
C. Thomas 24 5-10 0-0 7-8 10 2 1 1 1 17 20 -
S. Weems 22 7-11 3-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 5 21 8 -
M. Washington 15 1-5 0-0 2-6 4 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
S. Hill 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 3 5 -
M. Britt 6 1-2 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
V. Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jerrells 30 8-21 0-8 2-2 1 2 2 0 3 18 -1 -
H. Dugat 27 5-12 2-3 2-2 5 3 1 0 2 14 9 -
T. Carter 25 5-8 0-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 10 8 -
L. Dunn 21 2-9 1-4 2-3 6 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
J. Lomers 21 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 6 9 -
D. Simpson 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 3 4 4 -
K. Rogers 18 5-10 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 -
A. Bruce 18 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 2 2 0 0 3 4 -
M. Diene 16 1-1 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 3 0 4 11 -
M. Shepherd 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -

* = starter