Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (65-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nolen | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| D. Johnson | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. McKenzie | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Tollackson | 25 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Abu-Shamala | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Coleman | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Payton | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Busch | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan | 33 | 11-17 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 24 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 33 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Lucas | 26 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| T. Walton | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Naymick | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| M. Gray | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Summers | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Allen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Wulff | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Thomas | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| A. DeHaan | 0 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Washington | 0 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Keane | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
* = starter