Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Harvard Crimson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard Crimson -5 (47-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barnett | 34 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Ball | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Giovacchini | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Mosley | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| B. Ware | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Sanders | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Graeber | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Weeden | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Dixon | 10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| E. Fitzgerald | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Pride | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Marciano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pusar | 31 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Lin | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| T.J. Carey | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Unger | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| P. Magnarelli | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Housman | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. McGeary | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Harris | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Fitzgerald | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Miller | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Blankenau | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Okereke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Demuyakor | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter