Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -14 (75-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 40 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Palacios | 34 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| E. Sosa | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| A. McGee | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Caracter | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| P. Knowles | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Padgett | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Farley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Chichester | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bradley | 40 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 19 | - |
| J. Crawford | 35 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 9-12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 10 | - |
| P. Patterson | 32 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -4 | - |
| J. Meeks | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Jasper | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Harris | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Coury | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Stewart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter