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2008-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 64.1% 35.9% -
Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% -
Log Adjusted 89.6% 10.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -14 (75-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 40 4-11 1-4 6-7 6 3 0 3 5 15 11 -
J. Palacios 34 5-9 1-4 6-7 6 4 1 0 1 17 18 -
E. Sosa 23 3-6 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
J. Smith 23 4-7 1-4 8-9 4 2 1 1 2 17 16 -
A. McGee 21 3-6 1-3 4-6 1 4 1 0 1 11 10 -
D. Caracter 19 2-5 0-0 2-4 5 0 3 1 2 6 8 -
P. Knowles 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
D. Padgett 15 2-3 0-0 5-11 5 1 0 2 2 9 12 -
T. Farley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Chichester 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley 40 8-12 3-6 8-9 2 5 1 0 4 27 19 -
J. Crawford 35 5-13 0-5 9-12 8 3 0 0 7 19 10 -
P. Patterson 32 3-14 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 2 6 6 -4 -
J. Meeks 31 1-8 1-5 4-4 1 2 3 0 1 7 4 -
D. Jasper 31 2-4 2-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
R. Harris 14 3-3 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
P. Stevenson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Coury 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
A.J. Stewart 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter