Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rougeau | 39 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Terry | 38 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| W. Adams | 35 | 5-17 | 2-12 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. Darger | 31 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Bailey | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Shaw | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Wallace | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 36 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| W. Gardner | 36 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. McFarland | 30 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| R. Aguilar | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| A. Nigon | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Woodard | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Simmons | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| F. Clayman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter