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2008-01-05

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 25.5% 74.5% -
Efficiency 82.1% 17.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.3% 88.7% -
Log Adjusted 11.2% 88.8% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Langford 35 8-15 1-2 3-4 6 2 3 2 2 20 16 -
H. Salter 32 5-14 4-6 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 14 3 -
B. Hackett 26 4-9 2-5 2-3 0 0 3 0 3 12 3 -
A. Parker 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 2 1 -
J. Ortiz 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
J. Ebie 18 1-4 0-0 2-3 2 3 1 0 2 4 4 -
M. Scott 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 2 0 3 2 -1 -
N. Owens 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 3 -
M. Morones 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Mitchem 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Wall 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Amoroso 34 5-9 0-2 2-4 4 1 1 0 2 12 7 -
L. Wade 32 6-16 0-1 6-8 8 2 1 1 8 18 6 -
K. Spain 29 3-9 1-4 4-4 5 3 0 1 1 11 10 -
B. White 28 2-3 0-0 4-4 8 0 4 0 4 8 13 -
D.J. Gay 24 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 3 1 -
K. Davis 21 5-6 1-2 1-5 5 1 3 0 3 12 12 -
M. Thomas 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Pastorek 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 -

* = starter