Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (64-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Langford | 35 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| H. Salter | 32 | 5-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| B. Hackett | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| A. Parker | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Ortiz | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Ebie | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Scott | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Owens | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Morones | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Mitchem | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Wall | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Amoroso | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| L. Wade | 32 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 6 | - |
| K. Spain | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. White | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 24 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Davis | 21 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Thomas | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter