Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cunningham | 34 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J. Diggs | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Gates | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Scott | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Soto | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Barlow | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Bekono | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Jim-George | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B.J. Visman | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 33 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| V. Oliver | 32 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| S. Hanson | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| R. Silva | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 21 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| C. Portz | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| N. Clark | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Carter | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Toth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter