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2008-01-04

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 15.0% 85.0% -
Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Log Adjusted 10.6% 89.4% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +11 (63-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Killen 37 2-10 1-5 0-0 0 6 2 0 3 5 0 -
D. Roberts 35 2-11 1-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 5 -3 -
R. Harp 26 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 6 8 -
M. Walker 26 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
P. Dia 25 4-9 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
B. Fall 20 4-8 0-0 3-3 6 0 1 0 0 11 10 -
A. Malone 17 4-8 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 11 5 -
P. Ritter 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 1 6 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall 37 6-12 2-6 2-2 5 6 2 0 2 16 15 -
C. Higgins 36 2-5 0-3 0-1 5 1 1 1 0 4 7 -
R. Roby 33 5-11 3-6 2-2 5 4 0 2 4 15 11 -
X. Silas 31 5-12 1-4 4-5 3 1 1 0 3 15 5 -
L. Knutson 23 4-6 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 10 9 -
M. King-Stockton 21 1-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 19 0-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 3 1 1 1 9 -
H. Skildum 0 2-8 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 1 -
A. Putnina 0 4-10 0-3 0-1 7 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
B. Spears 0 7-10 0-2 2-2 7 4 3 0 0 16 20 -
J. McFarland 0 8-14 0-1 3-4 8 2 3 0 0 19 18 -
S. Powers 0 0-5 0-3 0-1 6 10 3 0 0 0 14 -

* = starter