Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.