Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +2.0 | ✗ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -21 (59-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Chitwood | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Heard | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| R. Haynes | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Tresvant | 26 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | - |
| T. Townsend | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| P. Wayne | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Miller | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Taylor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Colston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Clark | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 30 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Shelton | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Whiten | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Hanson | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Vance | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Keeler | 18 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Lewis | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Higgins | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Manley | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter