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Houston Cougars 89
@
UMass Minutemen 95
2008-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 97.8% 2.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% - ✗
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 ✗ (10.6 off)
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% - ✓

Actual: UMass Minutemen +6 (95-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dowell 38 4-10 2-7 2-2 9 3 0 3 1 12 16 -
K. Lewis 35 5-9 1-1 0-0 7 3 0 1 0 11 13 -
R. McKiver 31 4-12 1-4 6-7 5 1 2 0 0 15 11 -
L. Smith 24 3-10 0-3 6-6 2 5 0 0 2 12 7 -
T. Toney 24 7-11 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 0 2 14 9 -
M. Malone 19 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
Z. Nixon 13 2-4 0-0 2-6 2 1 3 0 3 6 5 -
B. Pane 9 2-6 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
N. Mosley 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Forbes 35 7-15 1-4 4-7 4 4 1 1 0 19 14 -
R. Harris 34 5-15 1-6 5-9 3 1 1 0 2 16 4 -
C. Lowe 31 7-11 0-2 4-5 6 5 1 1 5 18 15 -
E. Brower 25 5-12 0-4 8-12 8 1 0 2 0 18 17 -
T. Gaffney 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
P. Lo 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 2 6 -
L. Bonner 13 2-2 0-0 3-3 7 2 0 1 0 7 15 -
G. Correia 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 6 -
D. Milligan 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Glass 7 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
M. Groebe 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter