Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs +18 (88-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 31 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| T. Ito | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 27 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| L. Sikma | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Watson | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Stohl | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| K. Knutson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Carter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Thompson | 4 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holmes | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| E. Flato | 25 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| R. Morin | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Holmes | 23 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Kyle | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Zampier | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Pinick | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Braswell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Gibson | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| P. Nelson | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Sands | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Greenberg | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Fiddler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter