Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers -3 (46-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 31 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 30 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Richardson | 28 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Slack | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Holloway | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Dyer | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Sampay | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| S. Odzic | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Rubin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Couisnard | 35 | 6-16 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| P. Thomasson | 34 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 10-14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| G. Mekel | 34 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Griskenas | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| W. Preadom | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J.T. Durley | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Ellis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Michael | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Hatch | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter