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2007-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 8.3% 91.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -

Actual: Florida Gators +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor * 39 3-6 1-2 0-0 8 2 1 0 0 7 12 -
T. Porter * 37 2-12 2-10 4-4 1 4 1 0 4 10 0 -
M. Hairston * 35 7-13 0-1 4-4 5 1 2 0 4 18 9 -
A. Brooks * 34 11-19 3-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 4 27 11 -
M. Leunen * 29 2-4 1-1 4-4 4 1 2 2 1 9 13 -
J. Catron 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Oguchi 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
A. Zahn 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
R. Schafer 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 38 5-12 4-8 7-10 2 3 0 0 3 21 11 -
L. Humphrey * 38 8-15 7-13 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 23 7 -
C. Brewer * 34 3-7 0-3 8-12 5 3 2 2 5 14 14 -
J. Noah * 30 4-9 0-0 6-7 14 1 2 1 2 14 21 -
A. Horford * 30 1-3 0-0 4-8 7 2 0 2 3 6 11 -
C. Richard 22 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 3 7 -
D. Werner 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Hodge 4 1-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter