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2007-03-23

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 41.0% 59.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.0% 64.0% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #13646 * 34 5-16 2-11 3-3 4 4 1 0 0 15 8 -
W. Adams * 31 2-11 1-6 1-1 8 3 2 0 1 6 7 -
Player #15501 * 30 6-11 3-8 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 15 10 -
W. White * 24 4-11 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
G. Essengue * 17 2-6 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 2 1 5 5 -
J. Anthony 20 4-5 0-0 0-1 5 1 2 1 0 8 12 -
J. Darger 14 5-6 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 13 9 -
C. Terry 13 0-7 0-4 1-2 1 0 2 0 2 1 -5 -
M. Lawrence 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Bailey 6 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Shaw 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Rougeau 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter * 38 9-17 8-12 7-9 3 1 0 0 3 33 17 -
A. Brooks * 37 2-8 0-2 4-4 1 5 3 0 2 8 7 -
M. Hairston * 35 4-8 2-3 4-4 11 1 0 2 2 14 18 -
M. Leunen * 34 4-8 3-5 0-2 10 1 0 0 3 11 11 -
B. Taylor * 25 2-4 0-1 2-3 0 2 0 1 4 6 1 -
J. Catron 24 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 4 8 -
A. Zahn 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Oguchi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Schafer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter