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2007-03-18

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% -
Log Adjusted 24.8% 75.2% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -6 (68-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Umeh * 37 2-6 1-3 2-2 7 3 0 0 2 7 9 -
K. Kruger * 37 4-10 4-9 4-5 6 7 0 1 0 16 20 -
G. Essengue * 29 3-6 0-0 3-3 9 0 1 0 3 9 10 -
W. White * 29 8-12 0-0 6-6 3 1 1 0 1 22 14 -
W. Adams * 27 3-10 3-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 1 -
C. Terry 13 2-3 1-1 1-4 0 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Anthony 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
J. Darger 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
C. Bailey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Lawrence 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Rougeau 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Tucker * 39 4-11 1-6 8-13 7 3 1 0 0 17 17 -
K. Taylor * 36 6-16 3-10 9-9 2 2 0 0 3 24 9 -
M. Landry * 27 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 1 2 4 4 -
M. Flowers * 19 3-5 0-1 3-4 3 3 1 0 2 9 9 -
J. Chappell * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Bohannon 30 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 7 8 -
J. Krabbenhoft 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Stiemsma 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
T. Hughes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter