🐻⬇️🏀

Winthrop Eagles 74
@
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 64
2007-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% - ✓
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 ✗ (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 17.7% 82.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 17.3% 82.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% - ✗

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Bradshaw * 36 10-16 2-3 2-4 6 4 0 2 2 24 18 -
T. Martin * 36 8-18 2-7 2-4 11 1 1 1 1 20 15 -
M. Jenkins * 36 1-10 1-6 3-5 7 11 0 1 3 6 12 -
P. Williams * 27 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Gaynor * 27 3-4 2-3 0-2 6 1 1 1 1 8 12 -
T. McCullough 17 3-8 1-2 0-0 4 0 2 1 2 7 4 -
D. Adams 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 3 1 0 2 3 6 -
Avery Harris 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Falls * 39 6-16 2-10 0-1 0 3 1 0 3 14 -1 -
T. Jackson * 35 3-12 2-4 1-5 5 3 2 0 3 9 4 -
R. Carter * 31 6-15 0-6 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 12 1 -
R. Kurz * 24 5-6 0-0 3-3 10 0 0 1 2 13 16 -
L. Harangody * 17 2-6 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -2 -
Z. Hillesland 31 5-8 0-0 0-2 6 2 2 0 1 10 11 -
R. Ayers 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 5 0 0 0 4 -
L. Zeller 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Peoples 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter