Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Volunteers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lofton * | 33 | 4-16 | 3-9 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| R. Smith * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| D. Bradshaw * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| W. Chism * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| R. Childress | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Crews | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Tabb | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Howell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 39 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 10-12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds * | 34 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 9 | - |
| M. Diane * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Cain * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Joseph | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Tucker | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Tat | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Pettinella | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter