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UCLA Bruins 66
@
Florida Gators 76
2007-03-31

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.5 ✓ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% - ✓

Actual: Florida Gators +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison * 36 3-14 1-6 2-2 0 5 0 0 0 9 0 -
J. Shipp * 34 7-14 0-4 4-4 4 5 4 0 0 18 17 -
L. Mata-Real * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
A. Afflalo * 22 5-14 3-9 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 17 5 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Aboya 26 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 0 0 5 6 -
M. Roll 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
J. Keefe 15 1-1 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 2 7 -
R. Westbrook 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
R. Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Humphrey * 39 5-9 4-8 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
T. Green * 33 2-9 1-7 5-6 4 3 0 0 4 10 4 -
J. Noah * 33 3-7 0-0 2-7 11 2 1 4 4 8 15 -
C. Brewer * 32 5-7 4-5 5-6 2 1 0 2 2 19 15 -
A. Horford * 27 2-3 0-0 5-9 17 3 0 0 3 9 23 -
C. Richard 21 7-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 16 14 -
W. Hodge 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Werner 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter