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2007-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Georgetown Hoyas North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 (22.6 off)
Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -12 (84-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Green * 42 10-17 1-1 1-3 9 3 2 1 1 22 19 -
J. Wallace * 38 7-11 3-4 2-2 3 7 0 0 1 19 17 -
J. Sapp * 36 5-9 2-4 3-5 4 8 0 0 2 15 16 -
D. Summers * 35 7-10 2-3 4-4 6 0 1 2 3 20 16 -
R. Hibbert * 31 6-10 0-0 1-1 11 4 1 6 1 13 24 -
P. Ewing Jr. 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 4 4 -
J. Rivers 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 1 2 1 2 -
V. Macklin 9 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lawson * 40 2-9 1-4 0-0 0 6 1 0 5 5 -2 -
T. Hansbrough * 32 6-15 0-0 14-16 11 3 0 0 1 26 24 -
B. Wright * 26 4-8 0-0 6-6 6 0 0 1 0 14 13 -
W. Ellington * 24 2-11 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 -5 -
M. Ginyard * 18 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 2 6 -
R. Terry 29 4-13 2-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 10 4 -
D. Thompson 21 6-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 2 1 14 15 -
W. Miller 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Green 9 0-6 0-4 3-4 1 0 2 1 0 3 1 -
A. Stepheson 8 0-1 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 0 2 7 -
Q. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Frasor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter