Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -12 (49-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Walton * | 35 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Gray * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Joseph | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Hannon | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. James * | 36 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| L. Hayward * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Fitzgerald * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. Barro * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| W. Matthews | 31 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 27 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Lott | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| M. Kinsella | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Burke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter