Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -12 (49-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Walton * | 35 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Gray * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Joseph | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Hannon | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. James * | 36 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| L. Hayward * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Fitzgerald * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. Barro * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| W. Matthews | 31 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 27 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Lott | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| M. Kinsella | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Burke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter