Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (86-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leonard * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| M. Rose * | 34 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Brock * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Mascoll * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Dialls * | 27 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| H. Brown | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Douglas | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Taylor | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Daniel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Mestdagh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough * | 35 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| B. Wright * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| R. Terry * | 24 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| W. Ellington * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Lawson * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Frasor | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Miller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Thompson | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter