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UCLA Bruins 68
@
Kansas Jayhawks 55
2007-03-24

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - ✗
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 ✗ (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - ✗

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks -13 (55-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 36 10-15 3-7 1-2 4 3 0 0 4 24 12 -
D. Collison * 36 4-8 2-3 4-4 1 1 5 0 7 14 6 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 35 3-8 0-2 2-2 6 2 4 1 5 8 8 -
J. Shipp * 35 2-7 2-4 3-4 6 5 4 2 4 9 15 -
L. Mata-Real * 18 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Aboya 25 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 4 8 -
M. Roll 9 1-1 1-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
R. Westbrook 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
J. Keefe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Rush * 36 7-16 2-3 2-2 5 1 0 2 4 18 6 -
M. Chalmers * 33 1-8 0-2 0-0 3 7 6 0 7 2 3 -
R. Robinson * 32 4-8 2-2 1-2 2 1 5 1 1 11 11 -
J. Wright * 29 4-7 0-0 0-2 5 4 4 0 2 8 12 -
S. Kaun * 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Arthur 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 4 2 -
S. Collins 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Jackson 14 3-3 0-0 2-5 4 0 2 0 3 8 8 -
R. Stewart 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter