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2007-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Log Adjusted 16.6% 83.4% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray * 32 5-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 10 7 -
L. Fields * 30 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 11 8 -
M. Cook * 29 3-9 0-1 1-2 4 2 1 0 3 7 2 -
A. Graves * 29 1-3 0-0 3-5 2 1 2 0 0 5 7 -
L. Kendall * 22 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 0 2 -
R. Ramon 26 4-8 4-7 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 12 5 -
S. Young 22 3-10 0-1 3-5 3 0 1 0 0 9 3 -
K. Benjamin 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Biggs 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 37 3-11 1-5 10-10 7 2 0 0 2 17 13 -
D. Collison * 36 3-5 0-0 6-6 2 4 0 0 3 12 10 -
J. Shipp * 33 4-10 3-6 5-6 5 2 1 0 2 16 12 -
L. Mata-Real * 26 3-6 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 2 8 11 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 20 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
A. Aboya 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Roll 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Keefe 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Westbrook 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Wright 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter