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2007-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% -
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +5 (54-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Calloway * 38 4-11 1-2 3-7 6 5 0 0 1 12 11 -
A. Bassett * 30 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -
R. Wilmont * 28 3-10 1-5 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 8 2 -
M. White * 21 2-3 0-0 0-3 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
D.J. White 36 4-9 0-0 4-7 14 0 1 4 3 12 19 -
L. Stemler 24 3-6 2-3 2-3 5 1 1 0 3 10 8 -
A.J. Ratliff 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -5 -
J. Shaw 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo * 38 2-11 0-3 6-7 3 3 1 0 1 10 5 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 35 1-7 0-0 5-7 12 2 3 0 1 7 16 -
D. Collison * 35 4-8 1-2 6-7 4 2 2 0 1 15 14 -
J. Shipp * 33 2-7 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 1 2 5 5 -
L. Mata-Real * 31 4-6 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 0 2 8 8 -
M. Roll 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 3 1 -
A. Aboya 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Westbrook 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Keefe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Wright 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter